Sebastian Stöckl
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    • Inaugural **[Liechtenstein Workshop on AI in Finance](/events/20260506_liechtenstein_workshop_ai/)** — a success!
    • Three papers from **Uni Liechtenstein** at the 5th [Frontiers of Factor Investing](https://wp.lancs.ac.uk/fofi2026/) Conference
    • **[3rd Alpine Finance Summit](https://www.alpinefinancesummit.org/)**: Call for Papers is open!
    • Paper **[Lost in Translation](/publications/wp2024_lost_in_translation/)** accepted in the *Journal of Forecasting*!
  • Publications
    • Risk-Adjusting Forecasts for Increased Portfolio Performance
    • Lost in Translation? Risk-Adjusting RMSE for Economic Forecast Performance
    • Unpriced Sector Risk in the Factor Zoo: The Role of Industry Momentum
    • Are There Fences in the Global Factor Zoo?
    • Breaking Bad: Parameter Uncertainty Caused by Structural Breaks in Stocks
    • Event Risk Premia and Non-Convex Volatility Smiles
    • Factor Chasing and the Cross-Country Factor Momentum Anomaly
    • Less Is More: Ranking Information, Estimation Errors and Optimal Portfolios
    • Estimating Crypto-Related Risk: Market-Based Evidence from FTX's Failure and Its Contagion on U.S. Banks
    • Regime-Dependent Drivers of the EUR/CHF Exchange Rate
    • Diversifying Estimation Errors with Unsupervised Machine Learning
    • Recovering Election Winner Probabilities from Stock Prices
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    • The Price of Populism - Financial Market Outcomes of Populist Electoral Success
    • Higher Moments Matter! Cross-Sectional (Higher) Moments and the Predictability of Stock Returns
    • Cryptocurrencies: Herding and the Transfer Currency
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    • Parameter Uncertainty, Financial Turbulence and Aggregate Stock Returns
    • Credit Intermediation and the Transmission of Macro-Financial Uncertainty: International Evidence
    • What Drives Our Beer Consumption? - In Search of Nutrition Habits and Demographic Patterns
    • Turbulence in the Cross-Section: Predicting Factor Premia
    • Bid-Ask Spread Patterns and the Optimal Timing for Discretionary Liquidity Traders on Xetra
    • PRIX – A Risk Index for Global Private Investors
    • The Economic Benefit of Forecasting Market Components for Mean-Variance Investors
    • Towards a Well-Founded Valuation of Managerial Flexibilities in IT Investment Projects - A Multidisciplinary Literature Review
    • Decision Support for IT Investment Projects
    • Financial Applications of the Mahalanobis Distance
    • Die Riemannsche Vermutung
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    • USAVE Final Conference — Understanding Saving in Europe
    • 34th Workshop of the Austrian Working Group on Banking and Finance (AWG)
    • UNPIE Final Conference — Understanding Pensions in Europe
    • Wirtschaftspolitisches Seminar Alpenrhein
    • Finance Research Seminar — University of Liechtenstein
  • Talks
    • Risk-Adjusting Forecasts for Increased Portfolio Performance
    • Are There Fences in the Global Factor Zoo?
    • Breaking Bad: Parameter Uncertainty Caused by Structural Breaks in Stocks
    • Lost in Translation: How Predictability Turns Into Performance
    • Breaking Bad: Parameter Uncertainty Caused by Structural Breaks in Stocks
    • (Un-)Lost in Translation: Risk-adjusting RMSE to improve alignment of forecast accuracy and economic forecast performance
    • Asset Allocation and AI
    • Factor Chasing and the Cross-Country Factor Momentum Anomaly
    • Less is More: Ranking Information, Estimation Errors and Optimal Portfolios
    • Factor Chasing and the Cross-Country Factor Momentum Anomaly
    • Factor Chasing and the Cross-Country Factor Momentum Anomaly
    • Too much information: When reducing the informational content of input parameters yields better portfolios
    • Parameter Uncertainty, Financial Turbulence and Aggregate Stock Return
    • Portfolio Rules and Factor Premia under Ambiguity
    • The Price of Populism: Financial Market Outcomes of Populist Electoral Success
    • Parameter Uncertainty, Financial Turbulence and Aggregate Stock Returns
    • Parameter Uncertainty, Financial Turbulence and Aggregate Stock Returns
    • Turbulence in the Cross-Section: Predicting Factor Premia
    • Parameter Uncertainty, Financial Turbulence and Aggregate Stock Returns
    • Political Populism and Financial Markets
    • Turbulence in the Cross-Section: Predicting Factor Premia
    • Turbulence in the Cross-Section: Predicting Factor Premia
    • Turbulence in the Cross-Section: Predicting Factor Premia
    • Parameter Uncertainty, Financial Turbulence and Aggregate Stock Return
    • Parameter Uncertainty, Financial Turbulence and Aggregate Stock Returns
    • Parameter Uncertainty, Financial Turbulence and Aggregate Stock Return
    • Parameter Uncertainty, Financial Turbulence and Aggregate Stock Returns
    • Financial Turbulence, Parameter Uncertainty and Aggregate Stock Returns
    • Higher Moments Matter! Cross-Sectional (higher) Moments and the Predictability of Stock Returns
    • Financial Turbulence and Aggregate Stock Returns
    • The Economic Benefit of Forecasting Market Components for Mean-Variance Investors
    • Financial Turbulence and Aggregate Stock Returns
    • Portfolio Turbulence and the Predictability of Stock Returns
    • Portfolio Turbulence and the Predictability of Stock Returns
    • Comoment Factors and the Predictability of Stock Returns
    • Valuation of Real Options on IT Investments — A Simulation Model based on Modified Assumptions
    • Financial Applications of the Mahalanobis Distance
    • PRIX - A Risk Index for Global Private Investors
    • Financial Applications of the Mahalanobis Distance
    • PRIX - A Risk Index for Global Private Investors
    • What drives our beer consumption? - In search of nutrition habits and demographic patterns
    • A Risk Index for Global Private Investors
    • Towards a Precise Valuation of Interdependent IT Projects – A Real Option Approach Considering Unhedgeable Risks
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Election Portfolios - The Case of the 2020 US Presidential Election

Dec 5, 2020·
Sebastian Stöckl
Sebastian Stöckl
,
Michael Hanke
· 0 min read
Site
Last updated on 2026-03-03
Betting Odds Political Event Portfolios Election Portfolios Political Finance
Authors
Sebastian Stöckl
Associate Professor in Financial Economics
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